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                                             Fred Schnaubelt
           
                                                      
          When A Nickel Costs a Dime (How to Perpetuate a Depression)
 
                                                 


Parade
magazine reported last week that it costs a dime to make a nickel (actually, 9.5 cents). This shows you how governments consume more resources than they produce.

Whenever the value of something is below the cost of production there is a net loss to society. Think about how the government is spending $787 billion in bailout money with no accountability, keeping in mind that government consumes wealth -- it doesn't produce wealth. Could this be why the stock market is down 50 percent and jobs are rapidly disappearing?

When Congress thinks it makes sense to pay a dime for a nickel you can see why it thinks coercing banks to make loans to people without money, bailing out banks, and then requiring banks to write down home loans below cost -- might make sense.

When Congress thinks it makes sense to pay a dime a for nickel you can see why it thinks spending millions of dollars on windmills and solar panels that cost far more than the energy they produce -- might make sense.

When Congress pays a dime for a nickel you can see why it thinks coercing bankrupt car manufacturers into building hybrids costing more than buyers are willing to pay and building mass transit systems that cost more than can be repaid through fares -- might make sense.

Some people call this socialism. Margaret Thatcher pointed out the principle problem in paying for socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.

The $787 billion stimulus bill that President Obama signed will cost more than a trillion dollars with interest. Congress had less than 24 hours to read it. Think about this for a minute: more than a trillion tax dollars being spent and virtually nobody read the bill. Do you think the members of Congress would have been more careful if they were spending their own money, instead of yours?

There are more than 1,000 pages in the American Recovery & Reinvestment Act, filled with bounty for cities, states, counties, corporations, unions, and others too numerous to name who are lined up for "their" share of the fishes and the loaves. How many of these trillion dollars do you think are actually going to end up in the hands of people who produce wealth and create jobs?

Ever since John Maynard Keynes theorized that recessions can be overcome by massive government spending, politicians have felt they have legitimacy to spend other people's money. Keynes argued in his General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money that when government spends money each dollar is worth two and a half dollars because of the "magical" multiplier effect. And politicians who will pay a dime for a nickel don't need much persuading.

Politicians love spending money. It's in their genes. Also, it doesn't hurt that government spending can be translated into votes. After all, the billions being spent is income to somebody and recipients can be counted on to vote for whoever promises them the most.

The biggest hurdle to overcome in Keynes's theory, however, is that for every dollar the government spends it must first tax a dollar -- or borrow a dollar from the private sector -- and hence for each visible job the government creates an unseen job is lost. Many economists today, contrary to Keynes, conclude that when you pay a dime for a nickel, government spending results in a negative multiplier. After "S&H" (shipping and handling) is deducted, there is actually less money to stimulate the economy.

Congress is claiming it wants to put money into the hands of consumers. Virtually everyone who passed the 10th grade understands the most effective way to do this is immediately stop withholding taxes from paychecks and the very next payday there will be more money to spend. The same applies to business. Cut taxes: a direct approach.

Aha, but here's the rub. Congress thinks it knows that not everyone will spend the money. Congress believes it knows out of the 138 million taxpayers who will and who will not spend money in the manner Congress wants. So, it makes sense for government to first collect taxes, deduct an S&H charge, and send what is left to be spent by "politically correct" consumers/voters.

Yet government doesn't have the ability to survey the billions of decisions made daily by consumers and act upon them in a timely manner. The changing factors that have to be taken into consideration between supply and demand are so numerous that it becomes impossible to take them all into account. This is what the price system does in a free market economy and which no other system can possibly accomplish. As Nobel laureate F.A. Hayek pointed out in The Road to Serfdom, " the price system enables entrepreneurs, by watching the movement of comparatively few prices, as an engineer watches the hands of a few dials, to adjust their activities to those of [the market]."

In his book "America's Great Depression," Murray Rothbard describes six ways to perpetuate a depression:

(1) Prevent or delay liquidation. Lend money to shaky businesses, have banks lend more.

(2) Inflate further. Additional credit expansion creates more malinvestments.

(3) Keep wages up. When prices are falling this insures mass unemployment.

(4) Keep prices up. Keeping prices above free market levels creates unsalable surpluses.

(5) Stimulate consumption, discourage savings. All government spending is consumption. Higher taxes discourage savings, investments and the means for private job creation.

(6) Subsidize unemployment. Extending unemployment benefits delays the shift of workers to the fields where jobs are available.

Rothbard elaborates on how these measures delay recovery and extend depressions, the policies adopted in the United States between 1929 and 1933 and yet they are the time honored favorites of governments. See any similarities with today's policies?

                        __________________________________________________________________

                   Schnaubelt, president of Citizens for Private Property Rights, has been a commercial real estate broker
                   for 39 years and was a San Diego City Councilman from 1977-81.

                   This article appeared in the San Diego Daily Transcript on Mar. 3, 2009
                       ____________________________________________________________________________

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